Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 53.464730 60.923792 68.644506 77.201910 86.390757 95.932539 106.561010
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 41.053492 51.430735 62.765699 75.936930 90.696720 106.612019 124.957245
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 34.337087 46.265528 59.827630 76.121626 94.913719 115.677131 140.127546
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 29.312052 42.241229 57.480885 76.325151 98.585462 123.670510 153.711745
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 25.597743 39.270381 55.923238 77.040555 102.498813 131.660117 167.063984
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 21.793877 35.727716 53.284417 76.115684 104.190018 136.851244 177.014109
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 19.527128 33.920757 52.589757 77.377733 108.347611 144.822246 190.122388
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 17.722229 32.532468 52.268219 78.971485 112.809458 153.091313 203.550527
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 15.270087 29.966035 50.185755 78.142468 114.136000 157.494420 212.318149
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 12.748789 27.010310 47.346523 76.129847 113.814158 159.770522 218.438601
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 12.093217 26.833505 48.300469 79.094679 119.793872 169.766503 233.898382
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 11.210820 26.198417 48.538405 81.051668 124.455567 178.132595 247.397785
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.556429 24.134565 46.615263 80.013550 125.227806 181.699803 255.121107
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.081165 22.185977 44.722749 78.908003 125.833664 185.011765 262.511376
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.074763 20.939340 43.790903 79.070293 128.059350 190.331109 272.364510
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.191824 19.801106 42.940448 79.282500 130.306694 195.653176 282.214473
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.505629 18.952233 42.482591 80.014373 133.226353 201.823909 293.130208
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.598724 17.495626 40.935234 79.067569 133.798187 204.931226 300.175437
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.158211 16.985148 40.913798 80.359619 137.434846 212.010745 312.248964
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.809559 16.631965 41.128840 81.991005 141.538826 219.708804 325.130013
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.151940 15.407134 39.754913 81.142449 142.137563 222.791938 332.129810
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.437898 13.845431 37.659581 79.082060 140.953648 223.472074 336.018572
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.374960 14.069667 38.813948 82.117095 147.024776 233.784921 352.301837